Yeah, really looking forward to some of those races as well.
Do the Republicans have a realistic chance of winning the Maine House District 56 seat? Gina Mason (R) won it by 16 (58-42) in 2016, but given how Democratic-friendly the electorate will be in 2017, I have my doubts.
Continuing the discussion from the other thread... I rated this Likely R, but it definitely has the chance of flipping in the current environment. One of the races that I have the most uncertainty about, honestly, so I would welcome any insights you might have,
The Republicans are running Gina Mason's widower (their son is Senate Majority Leader and a candidate for Governor). The Democrats are running their 2016 nominee. Widows almost never lose special elections to replace their late spouses (although the Republicans defeated a Democratic widow in a Sanford districts in November 2015; he had come far closer in 2014 than the Lisbon Democrat had come in 2016 though) and I don't see why it would be any different for widowers. Lisbon, once a Democratic town, seems to have gone completely to the dark side. I'd personally rate this race as
Safe Republican, although I wouldn't mind being wrong.
