Italian Referendums - 12/13 June 2011

[Iannis]

Yet another country joining the club of stupid hysterics. Unbelievable.

Italians should probably worry more about having the world's 3rd worse productivity growth during the last decade than about the imagined threat from nuclear power.

that's right.

I completely agree.

[Iannis]

The first poll since the referenda results...

PD/SeL/Verdi/IdV/PSI/Radicali - 42.5%

PdL/LN - 39%

NPI (FLI/UdC/ApI/MpA) - 13%


I'm shocked that the PdL and Lega Nord aren't polling much worse. I guess it's important to remember that this is still Italy.   It looks like Fini, Casini and Rutelli will really be the kingmakers. Even though the numbers aren't that horrible for the coalition, Berlusconi's approval rating is still terrible at 29%.

Actually this poll doesn't consider minor allies of the center-right, so about 2%. In any case other polls indicate a larger gap, even 10%, but also in this case the minor parties are not considered so it would be better to say that the gap is 7-8%.
In 2005 after the defeat at regional elections center-right was 10% behind in some polls, and one year later the gap was 0. Also because in these moments a big role is played by "shy tory factor" in the polls.

[Iannis]

That's true. And it's IPR, and considering FDS inthe center-left the gap is 5%. At the end of may 2005 the poll that said the the gap was 10% was exactly IPR for Repubblica indeed.

[Iannis]

That's true. And it's IPR, and considering FDS inthe center-left the gap is 5%. At the end of may 2005 the poll that said the the gap was 10% was exactly IPR for Repubblica indeed.

It's not 2005 anymore though...things,as in economy+Italians+Berlusconi,change.

Eheh We'll see. We'll see.