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June 01, 2024, 04:02:11 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: The New Campaign Trail  (Read 54204 times)
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« on: November 10, 2023, 04:29:13 PM »

Wow.  I actually got a locked electoral college result as Bush in '92.



Clinton/Gore - 37,135,128 (40.2%)
Bush/Quayle - 36,167,793 votes (39.2%)
Perot/Stockdale - 18,974,407 (20.5%)

This was the after election blurb:

Quote
Sorry. You have lost the 1992 election.

Although the Electoral College was tied, the Democrats have won a solid majority in the House, and will elevate Bill Clinton to the Presidency.

If Perot won any electoral votes, you could try to strike a deal with him, maybe allowing him to become VP, but it’s unclear if he would accept such a deal.

States with margin of victory less than 1% (72 electoral votes)Sad
1.  Maine – 0.18% (1,014 votes) *over Perot*
2.  Iowa – 0.18% (2,372 votes)
3.  Idaho – 0.25% (1,027 votes)
4.  Kentucky – 0.42% (5,770 votes)
5.  Colorado – 0.48% (6,542 votes)
6.  Michigan – 0.68% (24,020 votes)
7.  Louisiana – 0.84% (13,130 votes)
8.  Montana – 0.85% (3,154 votes)
9.  Tennessee – 0.92% (15,156 votes)

States with a margin of victory between 1% and 5% (137 electoral votes):
1.  Connecticut – 1.39% (20,149 votes)
2.  New Mexico – 1.47% (7,307 votes)
3.  Pennsylvania – 1.62% (72,368 votes)
4.  Missouri – 1.82% (38,396 votes)
5.  Wisconsin – 2.24% (47,690 votes)
6.  Delaware – 2.33% (5,781 votes)
7.  Georgia – 2.77% (50,681 votes)
8.  New Jersey – 2.81% (83,519 votes)
9.  South Dakota – 2.94% (8,823 votes)
10.  Wyoming – 3.45% (6,393 votes) *over Perot*
11.  Nevada – 3.57% (12,476 votes)
12.  Utah – 3.59% (24,371 votes) *over Perot*
13.  Florida – 4.23% (189,856 votes)
14.  Arizona – 4.86% (54,311 votes)

Best Bush states:
1.  Mississippi – 50.29%
2.  Alabama – 48.29%
3.  South Carolina – 48.07%
4.  Virginia – 46.15%
5.  Nebraska – 45.97%

Best Clinton states:
1.  Washington, D.C. – 85.67% 
2.  West Virginia – 50.24%
3.  Arkansas – 49.61%
4.  Hawaii – 47.11%
5.  Maryland – 46.02%

Best Perot states:
1.  Idaho - 37.16%
2.  Utah – 36.28%
3.  Maine – 34.20%
4.  Wyoming – 33.77%
5.  Alaska – 33.21%
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Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2024, 09:39:49 AM »
« Edited: April 03, 2024, 09:56:54 AM by Del Tachi »

Got an interesting map playing on "easy" as McCain/Lieberman in 2008:

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Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2024, 12:25:34 AM »

Managed to win as Nixon in 1960 while promising to visit all 50 states/losing the debate to Kennedy  (which are two decisions that almost always go badly!)



I also won the popular vote 49.9%-49.6%
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Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2024, 09:47:52 AM »

In a reversal of real life, I managed to win as Gore in 2000 while losing the popular vote to Bush.  I did this by running as a moderate-to-conservative (i.e., pro-gun, pro-coal), interventionist Democrat who openly embraced Bill Clinton.  Evan Bayh was my VP, and most of my campaign stops were in the MS River States (plus one trip each to OH/WV.)  Popular vote was 48.4% Bush, 48.3% Gore.



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Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2024, 07:12:09 PM »


How is that 8 electoral votes for Obama.  Hawaii + DC should be 7 unless the NCT splits results by CD in Maine (and I have never noticed if it has before.)
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