Washington state megathread

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Here's the 2011 Spokane moyoral election by precinct/voting district.





There are about 5,000 votes yet to be counted in Spokane county, but I decided to just go with it and make the map already.  I'll edit it later.  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

That's quite the turnaround from the primary. What caused Vernon to collapse?

I haven't read up on that yet, maybe Alcon or realistic know something. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Something worth mentioning: Starting at midnight tonight, McKenna won't be able to fundraise until sometime in March due to the freeze on state officials raising money during legislative sessions.

Inslee is free to raise money during this time period.

   

[Fuzzybigfoot]

roflcopter

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Any chance one of the Democratic legislators will run in the Heckmander? It would at least be semi-satisfying if he lost to another Democrat.

They've all already endorsed him

Oh well. Some corrupt good ol' boy party hack wins. Again.

wurt.? You're an independent now? Protest against Tim Ceis?

I've been thinking about it for a while. It was one factor in my decision.

We'll see if I stick with it. Maybe I'm just being mad and will switch back. I don't know.

Governor McKenna, a Republican State Senate, and maybe 5 Republican Congressmen. Next year is gonna be just delightful.

Whoa, I thought you were realisticidealist for a second! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

It would be hilarious if BSB was a Washington poster.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Why, Sedro Woolley?  Why?  

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Patty Murray came out in support of gay marriage!

Yes!!!!   

[Fuzzybigfoot]

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Happy Snowpocolypse, Washingtonians!

We already got a couple inches here,  and it's still going! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

I wish I had someone to throw snowballs at. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Whoot!

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Guys, I just remade the new WA-1 with Dave's redistricting app and dispite the fact that it gave Rossi about a 2% MOV, it gave Obama a 14.5% advantage.  That's good.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Guys, I just remade the new WA-1 with Dave's redistricting app and dispite the fact that it gave Rossi about a 2% MOV, it gave Obama a 14.5% advantage.  That's good.

2% MOV Rossi vs Murray yes?

BTW Rossi's performance still strikes me as impressive in 2010; even though it was a Republican year getting that percentage against Murray is no small feat (though I will say that I don't see any way for Rossi to win a major state-wide office anytime soon, 2010 was probably his best chance for at least a few election cycles).

Mhm, East King County really did it for him in the new WA-1, as well as the new 8th.



BTW here's the 2008 presidential race by the 2012 congressional districts.





Here are the MOVs I got for each district, if I can recall:

1st:  +14 Obama

2nd:  +23 Obama

3rd:  +4 Obama

4th:  +20 McCain

5th:  Didn't check what the vote was here, but it was likely single digits for McCain

6th:  Didn't check the exact total, but it didn't change that much from the 2008 version

7th:  I thing Bgwah mentioned that Obama had a 62% MOV here or something

8th:  +4 or 5 for Obama, not exactly sure

9th:  +38 Obama

10th:  Meeker got 57-40 in Obama's favor (+17)

[Fuzzybigfoot]

I love Joe McDermott. 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Would somebody be able to kindly predict the vote outcome, approximately, for someone who's not as familiar with these individual state legislators as you apple-eating, Nirvana-listening, Starbucks-drinkers?

You forgot about Pearl Jam! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Santorum's coming to Olympia? 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Hah, the glitterbomber from the Santorum rally was the burnout from my chemistry class.  He's apparently now an Occupy camper.  Ahh, predictable.

Bless his soul.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Yeah, weird. You would think that the cell lines would be more liberal in general (students/youth don't use land lines).

Also did you notice that both Romney and Paul are losing Eastern Washington in that poll? Meanwhile Western Washington (outside Seattle Metro) is tied. What?!

SUSA's samples are often odd like that, even if overall they end up being fairly accurate.

They also claim WA has more Republicans than Democrats, which I find strange.

That's absolutely BS, of course.   lol

[Fuzzybigfoot]

lol  Saintly Rick doing better than Romney?  Eastern Washington must be really energetic about him.....

[Fuzzybigfoot]

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2017936337_apwamajorityminoritydistricts1stldwritethru.html

So you get to keep Adam Smith, and can't even find candidates for the 15th LD, aside from a single college kid. Anyone with a brain knew exactly what was going to happen. Shame on the pathetic Democrats who allowed this Republican gerrymander to go through instead of being brave enough to the folks at "OneAmerica" that they were being stupid idiots. We have to suffer with this inexcusably terrible map for a whole decade now.

There there, there there.  [Pat pat, hug]

[Fuzzybigfoot]

12,000

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Tim Eyman's 2/3 requirement for a tax increase was declared unconstitutional by a King County Superior Court today. It'll be appealed of course and Eyman will probably still continue to place it on the ballot.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Wow, Yakima women ftw! 

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Does anyone know what percentage Kerry got in the new 1st?