NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 09:35:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who won the 2010 election?
#1
Republicans
 
#2
Democrats
 
#3
Neither Party
 
#4
Both Parties
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)  (Read 161943 times)
Reds4
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 789


« on: November 03, 2010, 01:43:26 PM »

Isn't it possible that NY-25 could still go to the GOP as well? Maffei leads by just 2,196 votes. The county that still has to report 40% of their precincts is Wayne and Buerkle has nearly a 3,400 vote lead in that county through the first 60%... I don't know anything about the county so I may be wrong.. but it seems possible for the GOP to pick this one up too.. It should be very close. What does everyone else think?


It looks like the GOP will get 64 seats net, winning IL-08, the Ortiz seat in Texas TX-27 I think (that must be the biggest upset of the night), CA-20, and WA-02.  They have a chance to win 65 seats if they get lucky in CA-11, but that appears less likely than not, unless after those silly 2 or 3 precincts in Santa Clara County which remain out (why haven't they been counted, what is the problem?), and as is likely, Harmer is behind (by 72 projected votes), he makes it up with the late absentees and military ballots. I suppose that is possible. This one might be up in the air for weeks.

In WA-2, per my spreadsheet projection, Koster has about a 1,700 projected pad when all the projected votes are in, and that will be very tough to make up with late absentees being that heavily more disproportionately Dem vis a vis what came before in each county. In IL-08, of the remaining projected 2,140 votes out, Bean would have to carry that by 69%, as opposed to the 55.5% she has been getting in Cook County so far (which is the only county with votes out). I don't think so.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 14 queries.