Ontario 2014 (June 12th) (user search)
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Author Topic: Ontario 2014 (June 12th)  (Read 70886 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #100 on: May 15, 2014, 08:40:50 AM »
Today's itineraries.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #101 on: May 16, 2014, 04:48:44 PM »
I trust Nanos, Angus-Reid, Ipsos.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #102 on: May 16, 2014, 05:07:51 PM »
« Edited: May 16, 2014, 05:10:12 PM by RogueBeaver »
I know. In the same vein, Angus-Reid was most accurate in BC 2009. EKOS and Forum were off on QC 2012 but accurate last month. Grenier notes that both Forum and Ipsos agree on major Tory gains in Toronto.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #103 on: May 16, 2014, 08:17:20 PM »
Closest would be BC. In 2009 Angus-Reid was the only pollster to correctly spot NDP strength. In 2013 Forum was least incorrect in catching Grit strength - barely registered for others. ON 2011 everyone caught the trends, if at varying times and speeds.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #104 on: May 16, 2014, 08:50:20 PM »
On another subject: daily dose of Star's Grit hackery. Also Goar being herself.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #105 on: May 17, 2014, 09:06:15 AM »
Now Grits are leaking Horwath's meal expenses to the Sun.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #106 on: May 19, 2014, 12:32:55 PM »
Star looks at Brampton-Springdale.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #107 on: May 19, 2014, 02:46:43 PM »
Horwath calls for an economic debate, while she and Wynne have confirmed their interest in a northern debate. Hudak's hasn't confirmed on either.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #108 on: May 20, 2014, 12:09:12 PM »
Itineraries.

Wynne's Walkerton visit: risky attempt at definition.

Fertility treatment policies.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #109 on: May 20, 2014, 12:14:23 PM »
Riding poll, and from a firm no one's ever heard of.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #110 on: May 20, 2014, 04:11:45 PM »
Abacus just out: 36/33/25 PC (LV).
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #111 on: May 20, 2014, 05:09:43 PM »
Fairly stark methodological divide.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #112 on: May 20, 2014, 09:06:58 PM »
Hudak declines northern debate.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #113 on: May 21, 2014, 08:02:32 AM »
Itineraries.

Kinsella's take on the campaign thus far.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #114 on: May 21, 2014, 06:18:51 PM »
Contrasts on industrial policy and ads.

Adjustment to new GOTV realities.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #115 on: May 21, 2014, 07:39:41 PM »
NDP platform out tomorrow.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #116 on: May 21, 2014, 09:02:43 PM »
New Star narrative: Horwath screwed certain unions WHILE STILL BEING RESPONSIBLE FOR A POTENTIAL HUDAPOCALYPSE.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #117 on: May 22, 2014, 06:46:21 AM »
Geographic focus.

Forum: 41/34/21 OLP.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #118 on: May 22, 2014, 08:45:16 AM »
Quote from: Krago on May 22, 2014, 08:42:52 AM
I read the new Forum poll in today's Toronto Star.  It shows the Liberal lead over the PCs widening from three points (38%-35%) to seven (41%-34%), yet somehow, the projected lead in seats has shrunk from 42 (68-26) to 32 (63-31).  These guys must have PhDs because I can't figure it out!

Ipsos is out tonight, curious to see if their trend is continuing.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #119 on: May 22, 2014, 10:46:15 AM »
NDP platform out.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #120 on: May 22, 2014, 11:35:06 AM »
Some tidbits from Bricker's Twitter feed: most motivated, likeliest, interested voters are Tory. Leadership still has Wynne as popular as OLP, Hudak trails his party, Horwath way ahead of hers. Tory second choice is NDP, not OLP - first time he's seen that. Tories tied with Grits among immigrants: Tories have older, Grits younger. Tories have big lead w/homeowners.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #121 on: May 22, 2014, 02:06:37 PM »
Grit platform will be released Sunday.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #122 on: May 22, 2014, 05:58:02 PM »
LV is 41/30/26 PC. Hudak should shift some fire NDP's way like Harper did 3 years ago.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #123 on: May 22, 2014, 07:39:05 PM »
LV worked just fine here in QC last month for both Ipsos and Angus-Reid. As Bricker said, GOTV/motivation game.
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RogueBeaver
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Canada
« Reply #124 on: May 22, 2014, 08:08:07 PM »
LVP: Methodology's in the writeup, more details if you poke around the Ipsos website.
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