Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II (user search)
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  Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Does uniting the right in Alberta mean the NDP is toast next election?
#1
Absolutely they are done like dinner
 
#2
NDP still might win, but will be a steep hill to climb
 
#3
NDP will likely win, UCP too extreme
 
#4
NDP will definitely win
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II  (Read 195183 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #250 on: March 13, 2017, 07:52:39 AM »

Traditional mid-mandate shuffle/Throne Speech might happen later this year.

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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #251 on: March 20, 2017, 05:25:55 PM »

Airport privatization won't be in the budget.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #252 on: March 22, 2017, 08:14:59 PM »

CBC budget roundup.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #253 on: March 31, 2017, 07:15:09 AM »

Speaking of Sun Forum polls, latest one claims Wynne's gonna be Campbelled. Like you, Adam, I have trouble taking Forum seriously.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #254 on: April 08, 2017, 08:42:13 AM »

Postmedia's about to croak.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #255 on: April 18, 2017, 10:50:02 AM »

Star hints again that Wynne could resign this summer given the Mulroney 1993 situation on her hands. Grit MPPs swarming exits, bad fundraising & internals showing them a distant 3rd.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #256 on: April 29, 2017, 08:58:39 AM »

Albertan merger talks heating up, agreement might even happen this weekend, but plenty of moving parts. Rempel is considering challenging Nenshi for the Calgary mayoralty.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #257 on: May 09, 2017, 02:04:11 PM »

Good riddance: Meredith has quit.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #258 on: May 15, 2017, 03:27:22 PM »

WHOA: Ambrose quitting politics after the new leader is elected.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #259 on: May 18, 2017, 09:24:36 AM »

Alberta is about to Unite The Right!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #260 on: May 21, 2017, 09:13:25 AM »

If he means people in high-profile ministerial/critic roles during the Martin government or Harper's first term.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #261 on: May 21, 2017, 06:29:54 PM »

We're moving ahead with TPP.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #262 on: May 25, 2017, 05:21:06 PM »

Mid-mandate housecleaning inbound.

On this province: count me extremely skeptical CAQ surge will hold. Happens every 5 years: ADQ 2002/7, CAQ 2011 & now. PQ missed their chance a decade ago (as Josee Legault, Michel David & others have said then & now) to nip these problems in the bud, like Unionists did with BP & RIN. Too late now. So they're stuck in a weird purgatory where QS is an erosion which can't be squashed but not a fatal one a la 1970.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #263 on: May 26, 2017, 12:06:19 PM »
« Edited: May 26, 2017, 12:39:31 PM by RogueBeaver »

Mid-mandate housecleaning inbound.

On this province: count me extremely skeptical CAQ surge will hold. Happens every 5 years: ADQ 2002/7, CAQ 2011 & now. PQ missed their chance a decade ago (as Josee Legault, Michel David & others have said then & now) to nip these problems in the bud, like Unionists did with BP & RIN. Too late now. So they're stuck in a weird purgatory where QS is an erosion which can't be squashed but not a fatal one a la 1970.

How exactly did Union Nationale squash BP & RIN?

To simplify a bit, co-opted their issues in a diluted form then steamrollered them. BP fell apart pretty quickly once the war ended. RIN was different: Johnson and Bourgault negotiated an electoral pact whose effect was bleeding Grits in suburbia both on & off-island, allowing UN to come up the middle there. Especially younger lefty nationalists/separatists who couldn't stomach voting for conservatives. Johnson's death (per Black, Johnson saw '66 as '44 & '70 as '48) ended the prospect of Phase 2. The pact was 1) consolidate behind UN candidate in 12 swing ridings while leaving poteau on ballot 2) no-comp in leader ridings 3) concentrate their combined energy on Grits. Pretty much what Lisée would want now.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #264 on: May 27, 2017, 09:41:42 AM »

I agree with Bélanger that GND's arrival ends what little prospect there was for NPDQ. Léger poll showing a potential QS-ON alliance at 18% & increasing regional strength should start worrying the PQ IMO.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #265 on: May 27, 2017, 03:27:59 PM »

Caroline Mulroney is considering running for Parliament, presumably in the 905.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #266 on: May 28, 2017, 07:56:02 AM »

Ontario: PC MPP Jack McLaren expelled from caucus for Francophobia.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #267 on: June 02, 2017, 08:35:28 PM »

Bernier might challenge Scheer's legitimacy.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #268 on: June 06, 2017, 09:33:20 AM »

CRA update: 46/33/11 in NB, 38/26/26/10 in PEI.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #269 on: June 07, 2017, 01:03:17 PM »

Meilleur withdraws her OLC nomination.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #270 on: June 21, 2017, 12:33:00 PM »

Mainstreet-QC: 33/27/22/18. Grits lead here on the island with PQ/QS tied at 19%, CAQ leads in Quebec City, 3-way race elsewhere. We'll see how long GND-manie lasts.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #271 on: June 23, 2017, 06:04:13 PM »

Yes, QS originates from PQ's fiscal hawkishness under Bouchard and to a lesser extent, Marois - "déficit zéro" as it's known here. Just one of their major structural weaknesses.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #272 on: June 24, 2017, 08:39:42 AM »

Leger confirms Mainstreet: 31/28/22/15.

No summer shuffle. Though IMO we'll still have a fall prorogation.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #273 on: June 26, 2017, 08:17:25 AM »

They're polling around 25%, so no. Or she can ask David Peterson and Pauline Marois for advice.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #274 on: June 26, 2017, 12:38:05 PM »

Bipartisanship or holding pattern?

Grit backbenchers want Justin to guarantee their nominations.
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