2040 electoral map

[Goldwater]

My map (much more swing states than now):

I assumed that the Republicans are going to improve their performance among Hispanic voters. Texas was very close to Toss-up, however, I assume in thís scenario that the GOP will be able to split the Hispanic vote in Texas 50-50.

If the Republicans supposedly improve among Hispanics, why is Arizona a swing state and Nevada more Democratic than the Pacific Northwest?

[Goldwater]

This is, of course, pure speculation and I could turm out to be completely wrong, but I could see something like this:

Basically, I'm thinking that the Republican are at the point where they can't get much more support from white voters, so they end up becoming more competitive with Hispanics, which is why they are winning states like Nevada and Colorado. Meanwhile, Democrats are dominating with black voters and urban, which when combined with shifting demographics is why they are able to win states like Mississippi and Georgia.