CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (user search)
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  CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%  (Read 4155 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 18,323
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30
« on: July 25, 2016, 12:58:26 PM »
That's pretty weak for a post convention. +3 is not necessarily what we see post convention, usually it's about +10. The Democratic Convention will be more positive and it won't take that much to wipe out +3.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,323
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30
« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 02:02:29 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2016, 02:37:02 PM by Invisible Obama »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on July 25, 2016, 05:44:07 AM

In other news, big education gap….

white college grads:
Clinton 44%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%



If these numbers actually pan out, Trump still would lose. He can't lose white college graduates and win, even if he does increase the Republican share of the white non-college graduate vote. I used the demographics calculator from 538 and using the numbers from this poll did not result in a Trump win.
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