NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO (user search)
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  NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT/CBS/Quinnipiac: Obama retains small leads in VA, WI, Romney+1 in CO  (Read 2838 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: October 11, 2012, 01:25:20 AM »
« edited: October 11, 2012, 01:29:04 AM by Skill and Chance »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.

Romney being Western matters a lot more than a lot of people realized.  Regarding VA, McCain had several unique advantages for that state that Romney does not.  Most significant is the Navy connection.  McCain outperformed generic 2000-09 R in some of the VA beach suburbs.  That won't be happening again, and Appalachia should also tighten.  Romney will gain over McCain in  NOVA, though.   

PS: McCain is very underrated.  Holding the challenger under 55% in that economic environment was seriously impressive.
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Skill and Chance
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*****
Posts: 12,814
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2012, 02:59:31 AM »

Okay nice to see that VA is still favored for Obama, whatever lead Romney does have in some polls is small compared to Obama's. So VA goes for the President in the end.
WI is something else. +3 for Obama?! I guess that's what happens when the electorate that gave Scott Walker more votes than they gave McCain are enthusiastic to vote again.
Colorado?! Idk, that state does tend to swing away from the incumbent though.

Romney being Western matters a lot more than a lot of people realized.  Regarding VA, McCain had several unique advantages for that state that Romney does not.  Most significant is the Navy connection.  McCain outperformed generic 2000-09 R in some of the VA beach suburbs.  That won't be happening again, and Appalachia should also tighten.  Romney will gain over McCain in  NOVA, though.   

PS: McCain is very underrated.  Holding the challenger under 55% in that economic environment was seriously impressive.

Romney's Western!?

Spent years in SLC more recently than in MA.  Think about the debate on whether Bush = Southern.
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