GOP: your dreams of recapturing Virginia are just that (user search)
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  GOP: your dreams of recapturing Virginia are just that (search mode)
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Author Topic: GOP: your dreams of recapturing Virginia are just that  (Read 4570 times)
Smash255
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Posts: 15,461


« on: February 26, 2014, 12:51:47 AM »

We will see the next time a Republican is in office that Northern Virginia has a pro-incumbent bent when it comes to national politics. 

Ummmm





Compared to national average

Fairfax
2000 GOP + 1.88
2004 Dem +9.76


Loudon
2000 GOP +15.73
2004 GOP +9.63

Prince William
2000 GOP +8.51
2004 GOP +3.98

Arlington
2000 Dem + 25.47
2004 Dem +38.73

Alexandria
2000 Dem +25.92
2004 Dem + 37.04


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Smash255
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Posts: 15,461


« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2014, 06:55:04 PM »


The fact that Republicans haven't won a senate seat since Macaca-gate should tell Republican posters like the one who said "Democrats have only won Virginia twice" something...

Haven't there only been like 2 Senate elections since, both in Presidential election years? I remember Mark Warner and Obama winning in 2008 and Tim Kaine and Obama winning in 2012. And if memory serves the GOP ran joke, scandal-tainted candidates in both elections. I don't really see how throwing in the Senate helps you avoid the small sample size critique. I mean, between 2008 and 2012, the North Carolina GOP newly gained: control of the state legislature, a supermajority in the state legislature,  the governor's mansion, a majority of Congressional seats, and the electoral college votes for President. Looking at that sample size I predict North Carolina will never ever ever ever never go Democrat again, because the 4 year window I chose to look at supports this theory.


Silly comparison.  First off the key reason why the GOP has the Congressional seats in N.C is gerrymandering.  Same for the state legislature Supermajority-  Gerrymandering.  The State Legislature is hated, as is the Governor.  The GOP Presidential candidate did win the state last time around, but compared to the national average the state still trended Democratic. 

The Democrats have won the last two Presidential races in Virginia, three of the last our Governor's races in the state, the last three Senate races in the state (and it will be a 4th as Warner will win in a cakewalk)

Longterm the Democrats are in FAR better shape in VA than the GOP is in NC.
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