UK General Election, June 8th 2017

[jimrtex]

Survation for Stop Brexit Alliance (SBA)/Kensington Constituency Poll (25-27 Apr)
Poll 1
Con - 46% (-6)
Lab - 29% (-2)
Lib - 17% (+11)
Grn - 7% (+2)
UKIP - 1% (-4)
3% swing from Con to Lab

Poll 2
Con - 32% (-20)
SBA - 28% (+28)
Lab - 23% (-8)
Lib - 9% (+3)
Grn - 5% (N/C)
UKIP - 2% (-3)
24% swing from Con to SBA

Is this a new political party?

They must be; can't find anything out about them. I would imagine that the Lib Dems would stand aside for them if they're that close to the Conservatives. They may potentially stand in other seats that voted remain overwhelmingly that the Conservatives hold as well. Could make it interesting.

The "Alliance EPP: European People’s Party UK" has previously registered descriptions of Stop Brexit,
No Brexit, and Remain in Europe; and has this week registered Remain and Your hope: Europe.

This might be who commissioned the poll, particularly if they were trying to squeeze the LibDems.

[jimrtex]

Survation for Stop Brexit Alliance (SBA)/Kensington Constituency Poll (25-27 Apr)
Poll 1
Con - 46% (-6)
Lab - 29% (-2)
Lib - 17% (+11)
Grn - 7% (+2)
UKIP - 1% (-4)
3% swing from Con to Lab

Poll 2
Con - 32% (-20)
SBA - 28% (+28)
Lab - 23% (-8)
Lib - 9% (+3)
Grn - 5% (N/C)
UKIP - 2% (-3)
24% swing from Con to SBA

Is this a new political party?

They must be; can't find anything out about them. I would imagine that the Lib Dems would stand aside for them if they're that close to the Conservatives. They may potentially stand in other seats that voted remain overwhelmingly that the Conservatives hold as well. Could make it interesting.

I think it's organised by John Stevens, a former Conservative MEP. I'll defer to Hifly who knows the area best of all, but my understanding is that the local Tory MP (Victoria Borwick) is a hard-line Brexiter, whereas in other similar constituencies the MP was either a remainer (Battersea, Chelsea/Fulham, Cities of London/Westminster, Putney, Wimbledon) or is vulnerable to the Lib Dems (Kingston/Surbiton, Richmond Park) or both (Twickenham).

It is a bit of a push poll.

Kensington poll

Respondents were asked the conventional party question and then were asked:

"Please imagine that another candidate was standing who was solely committed to stopping Brexit, and was trying to form a "Stop Brexit Alliance" within London, for which candidate or party would you be most likely to vote for in Kensington?"

The poll shows 14/46 of Tories, 6/29 of Labour, 8/17 of Lib Dems, and 2/7 of Greens defecting to the only party mentioned in the question.

The poll also had a question on another Remain/Brexit referendum. If this were asked before the party question, it might also condition voters to respond in a different way.