So this ought to end the hysteria that this is a tied race.
It is a tied race.
This poll may suggest otherwise. Internal polls usually skew heavily towards the campaign which commissions the poll. We definitely need more polls on this race to know for sure, but this poll is not very encouraging for Donnelly.
Neither is the Rasmussen poll encouraging to Mourdock since it shows it tied and Rassy is a hack outfit.
Rasmussen is not as hackish as you may want to believe. Indeed, it has a minor bias towards Republican candidates according to Nate Silver (just as PPP has been shown to have a bias towards Democrats) but if you keep this in mind you can get a pretty accurate picture of a race when looking at polls conducted by Rasmussen.
I repeat: We need more polls in this race (we only have a Rasmussen poll and this internal) to draw any meaningful conclusions but as a rule of thumb it's not good if an internal poll shows a candidate in a dead heat with his opponent.
It's also very telling when one candidate (Mourdock) isn't releasing any internals...presumably because they show he's toast...
