Hillary Clinton vs Mitt Romney (user search)
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  Hillary Clinton vs Mitt Romney (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hillary Clinton vs Mitt Romney  (Read 4852 times)
Liberalrocks
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,940
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.35

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« on: January 10, 2015, 06:08:33 PM »
« edited: January 10, 2015, 06:14:19 PM by Liberalrocks »

How does the scenario play out? Maps % of pop vote?

I see it as roughly this:

Hillary Clinton 53% (357 EV) Clinton adds to the 2012 map North Carolina and Missouri.
Mitt Romney   46% (181 EV) He gets less then the 47% he got back in 2012 no pun intended.

Very similiar to 2008 popular vote margin. I think Clinton makes some of Romneys southern margins tighter then 2012 due to an increase in white voters but does not flip any of them other then NC and possibly Missouri. Arkansas is substantially closer then 2012 but to my disappointment stays with Romney.
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Liberalrocks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,940
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2015, 06:52:39 PM »

Romney is a washed-up has-been at this point. And if he's going to try to re-invent himself for like the 100th time now for a new campaign, he would do even worse than this:



388-150

Hillary is not winning any states Obama lost in 2012 beyond NC, especially against Romney because he'll lose fewer of his voters than any other GOPer would.

Um Hillary will do much better than Obama among white voters and also perform better among Hispanics. Black voters will remain a solid 90+% Dem voting bloc.

Meanwhile I can't think of any group that would swing to vote for Mitt Romney over Hillary in 2016 after having voted for Obama over Romney in 2012. After 2 failed campaigns, Americans are pretty much tired of Mitt Romney.

I agree with the statement here, however some of the states on the previous map are a bit polarized and the swings would need to be large for Romney to lose them but I could see Clinton adding a few states to the 2012 map and I just dont see Romney doing better against her then he did against Obama.
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