Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)

[Mehmentum]

Weren't the NY exits extremely pro-Sanders too?

Yeah, they showed a 4 point race.

[Mehmentum]

31% of Sanders voters say they won't vote for Clinton as per Fox News

[Mehmentum]

STOP THE COUNT!

[Mehmentum]

This is early vote, right? Still, you'd expect Bernie to be doing better in the rural areas, at least if that exit poll was anywhere near accurate.

Some of its early, some of its not.  If you look at the NYT map.  If you hover over a county and it say 'initial results' that's all early vote.

[Mehmentum]

She is up to 55%. Pretty good performance around Fort Wayne.

Allen county looks like it's all early vote though.

Its not.  1 precinct reporting according to NYT.  Counties that are all early vote have 'initial results'.  It could still be mostly early vote, but there is one precinct reporting.

[Mehmentum]

CNN hinting at making projections in both races. Will they call Indiana for Clinton so soon? I don't see it happening, still way to close.

Its not that close.

[Mehmentum]

Indianapolis currently 55-45 Clinton.

Isn't that kind of low?

Its in line with how Chicago and Detroit voted.

[Mehmentum]

Exit poll by area type:

urban area: Sanders +26
suburban area: Clinton +2
rural area: Sanders +6

Man, that makes zero sense.  Sanders always does worst in Urban areas and best in rural areas.

[Mehmentum]

Why are the southernmost counties not going for Sanders? Aren't they the majority white rural counties that we've seen break for him in the past?

Those counties are culturally southern.  Clinton wins Southern Whites.

[Mehmentum]

If Sanders does narrowly win Indiana, does this mean he is also favored to win in Kentucky, which has similar demographics? 

All the counties on the Kentucky border are going massively for Clinton.

Borders for other states are inconclusive: Missouri, Tennessee fairly heavily for Clinton, Illinois heavily for Sanders, Ohio and Virginia fairly even.

Of all the counties on the Kentucky border, Sanders has won 5.  Every other county has gone for Clinton, how is that inconclusive?

[Mehmentum]

Trump has 10k more votes than sanders and hillary have combined.

He's leading by wayyyy more than 7 here

Vote in the primaries has nothing to do with how the general election turns out, and everything to do with the competitiveness of the primary.  Unless you want to argue that Louisiana is a lean D state now?