UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

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Clwyd South:
37% Labour
30% Conservative
16% UKIP
10% Plaid Cymru
4% Liberal Democrat
3% Green

2010:
38% Labour
30% Conservative
17% Liberal Democrat
9% Plaid Cymru
3% BNP
2% UKIP

So basically the Liberal Democratic switched to UKIP? LOL.

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The 538 forecast is now 325 for Tories.

I saw that, too.  Then I realized that they had 50+ for the Lib Dems.

Tories are back down to 298 on 538's website.


EDIT:

Something's wrong with the 538 numbers.  They're fluctuating wildly.  I really don't think this is right:

So 538 is now Dick Morris?

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The 538 model is based only on projecting from actual results and not considering the exit polls, which explains its seemingly random fluctuations, especially this early.

Only a Dick Morris would think that Liberal Democrats are going to get at least 44 seats.

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Pretty impressive result for the SNP.