Here's how this joke does for 1856.
1856
Key 1: The incumbent party (in this case, Democrats) holds more seats in the U. S. House of Representatives after the midterm election than after the preceding midterm election.
FALSE, huge loss of seats
Key 2: There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.
FALSE, the incumbent President got primaried after 17 ballots
Key 3: The incumbent-party candidate is the current president.
FALSE
Key 4: There is no significant third-party or independent candidacy.
FALSE, Filmore got 21%
Key 5: The economy is not in recession during the campaign.
TRUE
Key 6: Real (constant-dollar) per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth for the preceding two terms.
UNDECIDED, there was a 1853-1854 recession
Key 7: The incumbent administration has effected major policy changes during the term.
UNDECIDED, should the Kansas-Nebraska Act count?
Key 8: There has been no major social unrest during the term.
FALSE, Bleeding Kansas
Key 9: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
TRUE, I guess
Key 10: There has been no major military or foreign policy failure during the term.
FALSE, Attempt to buy Cuba failed
Key 11: There has been a major military or foreign policy success during the term.
UNDECIDED, does Gadsden Purchase count?
Key 12: The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or is a national hero.
FALSE, I don't think his military service counts
Key 13: The challenger is not charismatic and is not a national hero.
UNDECIDED. Fremont is considered by some to be a military hero
7 false, 2 true, 4 unknown for 1856 . I think we know why the Litchman test starts with 1860.
