CA-50 Special Election Busby vs. Bilbray

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Reports about LOW TURNOUT are circulating.




 I think the minutman candidate will siphone off enough votes from bilbray that busby will win

Low turnout is almost always bad for democrats.

I bet it would have helped in the 2004 election, since the average Kerry voter felt far more strongly about the election than the average Bush voter.

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Bilbray will win, but it will obviously be closer than it would normally be.

True.

1. Bilbray is a poor candidate.

2. Turnout should be higher among Democrats than Republicans due to contested Governor's race.

The 2 candidates for governor went negative on each other, which will likely hurt turnout. Maybe they should have run for Lt. governor, and those 2 good candidates for Lt. governor should have run for governor.

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Appearantly the Republican party has spent over $10 million on this race. I wonder how much that will be per vote Bilbray gets?

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Did the San Diego pollworkers go to sleep?

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Moral of the story, $11 million is effective at buying a Congressional race.