1994 reversed

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Before 1994 to after 2006 for class 1 Senators has:




Counting Sanders, Lieberman as D

Dem -> GOP
NV, AZ, TN, ME

GOP->Dem
WA, MT, MO, MN, VT, DE, RI, FL

The Dems only lost 6 Class 1 Senators in 1994. They lost a 2nd TN Senator and an OK Senator, but those were other classes. The Democrats are a net +10 since 1994 (make sure you don't double count MO), and so have 4 more Class 1 Senators than before 1994.

Dems gained DE, WA, MI, MO  in 2000
Dems gained RI, PA, OH, MT, VA, MO in 2006
MO switched a 3rd time in 2002
VT jumped in 2001

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I counted Democrats gaining 4 seats in 2000 (MO, MN, WA, DE, MI-VA), 1 seat in 2001 (VT) and then 5 in 2006 (VA, MT, PA, OH, RI).

But my original count of 10 probably includes Shelby in Alabama who is not in the class. I didn't know about those other two being up at the same time though. And  included Texas because the GOP gained it in a special election the year before, no?

Anyway, I know that the aftermath of 1994 meant the senate going from 57-43 Democrat to 53-47 Republican, a net change of 10 seats.

Oh, I forgot FL and VT before, so yes it's a change of 10, so the Democrats are +4. Anyways, the two switchers (AL and CO) weren't class 1.

The Democrats therefore have 10 fewer Class 2 and 3 Senators than pre-1994. If somehow the Democrats could claim 9 of those 10 (not necessarily the same ones) in the next 2 elections, they'll have a fillibuster proof majority.