2008 Senate predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2008 Senate predictions  (Read 2436 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,841


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: November 22, 2006, 04:26:13 PM »

This thread to be re-named "New comedy goldmine" in 2 years.

I predict that the following 2 seats will change hands:

Allard (CO) R-> D
Sununu (NH) R->D

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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,841


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2006, 05:01:32 PM »

Why does no one else think Denny Rehburg would defeat Max Baucus?

Because no one else is hackish enough to believe that?

Why is that hackish

1.) Rehburg is popular
2.) It is a presidental year
3.) He has been elected statewide
4.) MT enjoys split government and I doubt they want 2 Dem Sen and a Dem Gov

Montana has actually only elected 2 Republican Senators total since the popular election of Senators was introduced.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,841


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2006, 05:03:48 PM »


Class 1 Senators have a 24-9 Democratic split. You are predicting that Class 2 Senators would have a 25-5 Republican split. That's just crazy. If the Democrats manage to get another good election, the Republicans will be in deep sh**t.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,841


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: November 22, 2006, 05:07:56 PM »


Class 1 Senators have a 24-9 Democratic split. You are predicting that Class 2 Senators would have a 25-5 Republican split. That's just crazy.

It would be 25-8, not that much different, and plus who predicted that would happen in 2004?  Everyone is quick to say the Dems will continue their success in 2006, as ppl quickly said for the GOP after 2004 and thought about a veto proof majority

Right, 25-8. In any case, the 24-9 split in Class 1 is the most lopsided in any class since the 1964-1970 Senators.

I see no reason why the Republicans will be in better shape after 2 more years. Your party should pay big time for giving us Bush.
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