I'm beginning to think that we may see something interesting... (user search)

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jfern
Atlas Institution

Posts: 53,854

Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Re: I'm beginning to think that we may see something interesting...

« on: June 11, 2008, 03:10:35 PM »

A uniform swing of between 2.10% and 2.46% to Kerry in 2004 would have resulted in him winning the electoral vote 284-254 without winning the popular vote. And now, the Democrat only needs 269 EV instead of 270 EV.

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jfern
Atlas Institution

Posts: 53,854

Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Re: I'm beginning to think that we may see something interesting...

« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2008, 03:14:54 PM »

Anyways, I think that for Obama, Kerry + NV + NM + CO + IA + OH + VA = 311 EV would be pretty realistic. There are more states that he would have a chance at, such as: MO, WV, FL.

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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution

Posts: 53,854

Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Re: I'm beginning to think that we may see something interesting...

« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2008, 03:16:38 PM »

Quote from: Franzl on June 11, 2008, 03:16:11 PM

Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on June 11, 2008, 03:14:54 PM

Anyways, I think that for Obama, Kerry + NV + NM + CO + IA + OH + VA = 311 EV would be pretty realistic. There are more states that he would have a chance at, such as: MO, WV, FL.

please explain how Obama is supposed to win West Virginia

Has a chance at. He could blanket the state with ads mentioning Mr. $50 an hour for lettuce picker's comments.

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