So what happened to the Bradley Effect? (user search)
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  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  So what happened to the Bradley Effect? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What happened to the Bradley Effect?
#1
It's a myth and never existed to begin with
 
#2
It existed at one time, but died out before this election
 
#3
The Obama turnout ground game overwhelmed it
 
#4
The polls got better
 
#5
When the economy's this bad, skin color becomes a lot less important
 
#6
The Obama candidacy made enough people comfortable with the idea of a black president
 
#7
Other (explain)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: So what happened to the Bradley Effect?  (Read 5271 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,879


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: November 05, 2008, 05:47:50 AM »

He didn't do as well as the polls, but that might end up being in the MOE. He was up 7.8 points in the polls, and he's currently up 5.9 points in the returns, and I expect the final results to be over 6, maybe 6.5 or even 7 points.

Obama ranges from 50 to 55, with an average of 52.1
McCain ranges from 42.7 to 46 with an average of 44.3


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