The special election on May 19th has six Propositions, Props. 1A-F. Aside from the obviously popular Prop. 1F to stop giving politicians pay raises when there's a deficit, the other 5 are down at least 9 points. Generally, trailing Propositions don't get passed. The Field poll is a reliable poll, but there were only 422 likely voters.
http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2305.pdfThe poll does indicate that voter confusion is high for many of the Props, but I don't think they're confused about their dislike of deadwood politicians.
