According to Hoyer's office, the vote switchers in question were Issa, Valadao, Denham, Walden, Walters, Poliquin, and Young.
Valadao, Denham and Poliquin are gone next year, then.
Valadao and Poliquin are not in districts where this vote is going to hurt them.. Not that an irrelevant vote like this would have an effect on a congressional race anyway.
Valadao is from a D+2 district with a growing Hispanic population. Poliquin was basically a rental from the beginning. Trump is on the ballot. They're gone.
First question, have you been to ME-2 before, I was literally there last weekend and this was big Trump terrority there were a lot of social conservatives.
Oh, I'm convinced then. Safe R.
It's not Safe R, but this issue isn't going to definitely kill his chances, it will likely help him with people who voted for Richardson in 2014 who was very conservative;
People who voted for Richardson are voting Republican anyway. The real question is whether the independents who voted for Poliquin will pull the lever again. I suspect they won't for multiple reasons. Most of those social conservatives are already solid. SoCons don't swing most elections.