swing states 2008?

[danwxman]

what will be the swing states for 08?  i know it impossible to tell becayse we dont know who the candidates willbe, nor do we know the main issues in the campaign.

1.  pennsylvania. 
2.  florida
3.  wisconsin
4.  michigan (much more competitive than the dems would have liked)
5.  new jersey.  (yes, i think the republicans, if they play their cards right (always a big if), have a chance at making a run at nj again.)

Heh, you just mentioned the Dem states that are vulnerable....Now how about all the Republican states that are:

Florida
Ohio
Iowa
New Mexico
Nevada
Colorado
Missouri
Arkansas
Arizona
Virginia

A strong Democrat could carry all those.

[danwxman]

States trending Dem (not just based on the 2004 election, trends in general):

Nevada
New Mexico
Colorado
Arizona
North Carolina
Virginia
New Hampshire

States trending Republican:

Michigan
Iowa
Wisconsin
Florida

[danwxman]

After Bush's success Republicans won't nominate moderate. Democrats maybe will, but not socially conservative. The liberal branch of the party seems to be too strong.

So the situation will be probably same like it was now.

2008 battlegrounds

Ohio
Florida
Wisconsin
Iowa
Minnesota
Michigan
Pennsylvania
New Mexico
New Hampshire

Plus new battlegrounds

Arizona
Nevada
Colorado


 

This is precisely the problem. Those evangelicals that handed the election to Bush won't vote for Guiliani, who lived with a *gay* couple after he *divorced*

[danwxman]

I'm a Christian, and I'll probably vote for Giuliani if he enters the primary.

I'm a Christian, and I voted for John Kerry.

[danwxman]

Wow....did anyone see Dick Morris on O'Reilly tonight? He said if Hillary ran she would win. He did pretty well with the last election.