Will 2016 be a realigning election? (user search)
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  Will 2016 be a realigning election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will 2016 be a realigning election?  (Read 1654 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« on: June 20, 2016, 08:17:41 AM »
No.  Trump's support will come from NeverDemocrats, which still live in the same Red Wall and would vote for a slug if it was the GOP nominee, and the Trumpists, which will give him bumps in the Rust Belt and Northeast, but not enough to flip any states.

It may be a landslide victory for Clinton.  It would be a landslide for any Democrat with neutral favorables.   It may also destroy the Republican party.  But unless the GOP comes out of this reinventing itself, it won't realign.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2016, 11:50:42 AM »
Quote from: xingkerui on June 20, 2016, 11:48:37 AM
There could be some significant changes, especially in states like Utah, but who knows if they'll be permanent?

If Utah goes Democrat, it will be a one-off protest, not a realignment.
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