TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,948
Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96
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« on: April 14, 2012, 11:57:13 PM » |
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I think Bill Johnson (OH-6) is in more danger than Bob Gibbs (OH-7) because while Johnson's district may have a more Republican PVI, it is in the "butternut region" as Torie likes to call it and Johnson has a much better oponent than Gibbs in Charlie Wilson. There are probably a decent number of voters who will split a ticket Romney/Wilson. I can't imagine much of anyone voting for Mitt Romney and Joyce Healy-Abrams. I know EMILY's list is trying to give Healy-Abrams some traction, but she's still an underfunded candidate who has never held elected office before running in a district won by John McCain.
The most vulnerable Republican Rep in Ohio is probably Renacci, since Sutton is by far the best funded of the three Democratic challengers I've mentioned.
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