PA 6/PA 8

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What kind of Democrats are the two Murphys?  Populist, liberal, DINO, etc.?

I expect Pat Murphy to be a Populist and Lois Murphy is another Allyson Schwartz.

Yeah, Lois was the former head of NARAL.  Wow, we may end up with 3 Murphys in the PA Congressional Delegation in 2006.

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What kind of Democrats are the two Murphys?  Populist, liberal, DINO, etc.?

I expect Pat Murphy to be a Populist and Lois Murphy is another Allyson Schwartz.

Yeah, Lois was the former head of NARAL.  Wow, we may end up with 3 Murphys in the PA Congressional Delegation in 2006.

Tim Murphy (R) will win re-election, Murphy has a chance but is unlikely to win and Patrick Murphy won't get more than 46%.

I wouldn't want to see Patrick or Lois in Congress (Lois would easily become one of my least favorite members of Congress) but it would be interesting to see three Murphys from the same delegation.

I think PA-18 leans towards Tim Murphy as well, but what kind of candidate is Sean Logan?  I can't find too much about him.

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I think PA-18 leans towards Tim Murphy as well, but what kind of candidate is Sean Logan?  I can't find too much about him.

Sean Logan is a popular State Senator who will likely do better than past Dem candidates against Murphy. In 2004, Murphy's opponent got 37%. I'm betting Logan gets around 43-45%.

What are his politics like?  I'm guessing sort of populist-liberal, out of the Ron Klink/Murtha mold?

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Some PA 18 news...

State Senator Logan will not be running for Congress. Murphy is now very likely to win re-election in 2006. If Logan had run, this seat was seen potentially competitive race and maybe even a Dem pickup.


http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/05174/527191.stm


...and news from Sherwood's district if the incumbent decides not to run again...

http://www.timesleader.com/mld/timesleader/11962987.htm

He should have run!   

I wish he would, but maybe some internal polling suggested that it wouldn't have been as close as you or I would have liked.  BTW, I don't really know what he would have to lose in running since I think his state senate seat was up in 2004 and therefore not in 2006.

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It started out as a rumor but now it seems like it could happen. Barbara Hafer is moving closer to a run against Tim Murphy in PA 18. Hafer said that she needed more time with family to consider the race and, of course, had to speak with Governor Rendell. (I guess she's not trying to hide that Rendell owns her?)

My opinion: Let the Dems run Hafer. She won't get more than 45% of the vote.

I hope Hafer runs for Lt. Gov., to be perfectly honest, just to shut her up for a bit.

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Let it be known due to his opposition to abortion rights and other personal reasons I won't mention on here that I will not support Patrick Murphy for Congress for Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District.  My support as of right now will go to Paul Lang.

Let it also be known that I will on top of Bob Casey, Brendan Boyle, Allyson Schwartz, and Lois Murphy I will be strongly opposing Mike Fitzpatrick's re-election. 

If Patrick Murphy receives the nomination, would you support him over Fitzpatrick even with a strong pro-choice Independent/Green/Libertarian candidate in the race?

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Finally! Crybaby Andy has a site - http://www.warrenforcongress.com/

Wow he is ugly.  The site is also pretty amateurish as well.

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   Also in attendance were Alan Sandals

Do tell more.

Well I was actually impressed.  Thing is I would vote for him in a heartbeat if he had a chance and a national organization, which he doesn't.  I really want to support him, but I have to go with Casey over the f-ing namesake and money.  Such as life.  DRAFT HOEFFEL!

Is his platform any different from Penacchio's?

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Great Fitz ad - http://www.politicspa.com/ADS/Honest_TVMF_1010_01.mpg



Goodnight, Patrick!

That's a very good ad (and pretty pathetic from Murphy) but it looked like the ad cut off when Murphy was about to answer.

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Recent HDCC Internal- Murphy (D)- 44%, Fitzpatrick (R)- 40%.

Seems about right for an internal.  Flyers, how do you think Murphy would have done in 2004 (or was he in Iraq then)?

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My predictions:

PA 4
Hart (R) 54
Altmire (D) 46

If there is a strong Democratic wave, this one might be closer, but I don't see Hart losing without the Republicans losing around 50 seats nationwide .

PA 6
Murphy (D) 51
Gerlach (R) 49

I like Gerlach and I'd love to see him serve another term, but I think all the intangibles line up to carry Gerlach out of office in a squeaker.  I wouldn't be surprsied to see Gerlach run again in 2008 if he loses.

PA 7
Sestak (D) 53
Weldon (R) 47

I haven't seen any updates on the situation involving Weldon's daughter (maybe Phil or Flyers could fill me on some of the details), but regardless it can't be good for Weldon's already fledgling campaign.  Sestak's run a great campaign and stands poised to win.  I wouldn't be surprised to see Weldon receive a cabinet nod if the GOP wins the Presidency in 2008.

PA 8
Fitzpatrick (R) 54
Murphy (D) 46

The one that got away from the Democrats.  Bucks County just isn't turning left fast enough for a Democratic victory without a very strong challenger, which Patrick Murphy is not.  Murphy should build up a career in Harrisburg or in private law practice before trying to run for Congress again.

PA 10
Carney (D) 53
Sherwood (R) 47

Given the nature of the district, I suspect Democratic turnout will be lower than expected (conservatives angry over Sherwood's infidelity who say they will vote for Carney will stay home) but Carney's lead is large enough to propel him to victory.

And the competitive district near my school:

VA 2
Drake (R) 52
Kellam (D) 48

This has been a really nasty campaign with tons of attack ads on both sides, but Drake hasn't been a terrible Congresswoman (despite all of the Kellam/DCCC ads trying to paint her as corrupt) the GOP nature of the district should be strong enough to re-elect Drake.