The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Adam Griffin]

If I had to guess where Trump is at right now based on an average of polls, then I'd say something like this. If the hemorrhaging shown in some polls is correct, then I'd expect a disproportionate share of it is coming from places where he over-performed relative to 2008/2012 (Midwest/Rust Belt/even parts of Appalachia). This would put him at majority disapproval in around 30 states; net disapproval in all but a dozen or so.

[Adam Griffin]

CBS:

43% Approval (+3)
49% Disapproval (-3)

Source

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Self-described "independents" have no real political convictions and should be barred from the political process, imo. They just sway wildly back and forth like saplings and are solely responsible for all of the rash, awful decisions made in this country and the unstable political climate that leads to nothing getting done, thanks to their low-info behavior. If we're going to make it harder for anybody to vote, then please let it be these people who feel the wrath.

[Adam Griffin]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania

This poll conveniently excludes Allegheny County.

.

It also says hes at 37% statewide.

Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

[Adam Griffin]

Including Allegheny with NW/SW according to their weights/crosstabs, Trump is at 48/50 in Western PA.

In the remainder of the state, he's at 31/67 by the same measurement.

Trump is at 36/62 statewide in this poll, compared to 42/56 in 2016 exit polling.

Isn't 37?

37 in their topline, but it came out to 36 when calculating it from each region's approval/disapproval. I actually didn't even see the topline result until after I had done it because I went straight to the crosstabs to see about Western PA.

[Adam Griffin]

FiveThirtyEight's aggregate polling numbers:

40% Approve
54% Disapprove

Highest disapprove number by their measurement ever; approval is only 0.1 points above its record low (April 3).