2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Adam Griffin]

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https://youtu.be/-w7ENxNjO4E?t=3m13s

[Adam Griffin]

CNN generic ballot:

Democratic 56%
Republican 38%

Worth noting that:

Year	House PV	CNN GCB (12 months out)	PV Diff from GCB
1998	R+1.1	Tie	1.1
2002	R+4.8	R+5	0.2
2006	D+8.0	D+7	1.0
2010	R+6.8	R+6	0.8
2014	R+5.7	R+2	3.7

Historically pretty accurate; 2014 was off by the most and even that is basically margin of error territory in a normal poll.

[Adam Griffin]

Bye bye

Ratings Change: Culberson’s Texas Seat Creeps Closer to Toss-Up

7th District shifts from Leans Republican to Tilts Republican

TAX

REFORM

BUMP

[Adam Griffin]

Democrats cross 50% in the 538 tracker for the first time: what a glorious Christmas gift!

[Adam Griffin]

ND-AL: State Senator John Grabinger (D-Jamestown) is running. He first won in 2012 as Romney was carrying his district 57-40, and easily won reelection in 2016, 59-41, even as Trump was carrying it 63-28.

Wow, sounds like a good candidate on paper.

He'll Grab your guns, but at least he won't Grab your p****!

Writes itself.

"He Won't Grab Your Guns OR Your P*ssy" would be the perfect slogan!