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Author Topic: Polls  (Read 115120 times)
Akno21
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,066
« on: July 01, 2004, 08:18:10 AM »

Well in doesn't seem right that both Survey USA polls be used in Iowa when the only one that gives Bush a lead is the hypotetical, if Vilsack was president this is not the case and unlikely and with out that survey Kerry would have all three wins and a 4.3 averaged advantage.  You could count this survey if Kerry did pick Vilsack.

And in Florida Bush did not win all of the last three but he is still painted as lean there.  It still seems somewhat arbitrary which survey's are counted and which are not and the system should be standardized so it will be honest.  

In Dale's Electoral College Breakdown the blogger decides off the cuff if he will consider the survey or not.  He generally doesn't change the Surveys in Kerry's favor.  http://home.comcast.net/~gerrydal/

Where as www.electionprojection.org showed Kerry with a huge lead and winning Missouri and Arizona etc and than 2 weeks Bush took back a big lead and not jut becauseof the Regan funeral but because the blogger had changed the calculation that he had been using and when more in favor of state polls.  Just trying to keep things honest here.

Here is one site I remembered for pollig info.  www.realclearpolitics.com.  

Those sites are pretty good.
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