What are the most left- and right-wing ridings in Canada?

[King of Kensington]

Maybe by province/region, and look at social liberalism and conservative as well as left/right on economics...

[King of Kensington]

Ontario:

Economic:  Hamilton Centre is the most left-wing.  Most economically conservative?  Either something in 905 like Newmarket-Aurora Oak Ridges or Oakville, or Don Valley West.

Social:  Trinity-Spadina I would say is the most socially liberal, runners up would be Toronto Centre, Danforth, maybe St. Paul's, along with Ottawa Centre.  Socially conservative Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke seems the most obvious (the Pennsylvania of Ontario?).  Runners-up could include Leeds-Grenville, Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington, Haldimand-Norfolk.

In Toronto itself, Danforth, Davenport, York South-Weston, York West could all be contenders for economically left.  Economically right DVW then Etobicoke Centre.  Socially conservative: probably somewhere in Scarborough.  Most split: Eglinton-Lawrence.  Economically conservative/socially liberal professional in the east, but also lots of socially conservative Orthodox Jews and Filipinos in the middle and west and Davenport, socially conservative Portuguese in the north, creative class leftists in the south. 

[King of Kensington]

Manitoba:

Economically left:  Winnipeg Centre
Economically right:  Winnipeg South

Socially liberal:  Winnipeg South Centre
Socially conservative:  Provencher

[King of Kensington]

B.C.:

Economically left:  Vancouver East
Economically right: West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast (?)

Socially liberal:  Vancouver Centre
Socially conservative:  Abbotsford

[King of Kensington]

Davenport is more socially liberal than its neighbors Trinity-Spadina or St. Paul's?  Find that hard to believe...

[King of Kensington]

Ontario..

Most economically left wing: I agree with Hamilton Centre
Most socially left wing: Probably Toronto-Danforth

Most economically right wing: it's going to be a PC riding, maybe Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington or Nepean-Carleton. Could be something in the 905, or perhaps one of the Simcoe ridings.
Most socially right wing: Probably Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke.

Nepean-Carleton or Carleton-Mississippi Mills may be it, with the high income libertarian exurban, Conservative-voting demographic.

[King of Kensington]

If you look at Vote Compass' abortion map, rural SW Ontario is more anti-abortion than rural eastern Ontario. Unfortunately they don't give specific data points, only a shaded map and most of SW Ontario is the same shade including Essex.

Do you have a link?

It's interesting that SW Ontario is more socially conservative than Eastern Ontario, but I guess there are some "Bible belts" that way - yet Eastern Ontario is more politically conservative but perhaps it's akin to Upstate New York or New Hampshire type conservatism rather than rural Michigan type conservatism?  Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke is hard to isolate though, and it's hard to believe they shifted so rightward over the last decade because of economic issues.

[King of Kensington]

Most socially left wing: Probably Toronto-Danforth

Why do you say Danforth?  NDP vote?  It's certainly very socially liberal, but it does include some semisuburban working class-y sections.  I would think it's Trinity-Spadina given that it includes much of downtown and is also the epicenter for the intelligentsia.

I do have access to the Ipsos raw data which I think has some questions about abortion, taxing the rich etc. but it's a huge undertaking!

[King of Kensington]

I think it's Chatham-Kent-Essex that comes in as the most anti-abortion.

Just looked at NHS figures for Ontario and tried to come up with evangelical population estimates.  I use the evangelicals own definition:

http://files.efc-canada.net/min/rc/cft/V01I02/Evangelicals_Canadian_Census.pdf

Such detailed information isn't available at the riding level but it is at the census agglomeration level.  Leamington is 31.7% evangelical, the highest of all Ontario CAs.  Chatham-Kent at 20.2% is in third place, behind Norfolk (21.6%).

Canadian evangelicals are more (proportionately) Mennonite and Dutch Reformed* than in the States, as we have a lot fewer Baptists, especially outside the Maritimes.  

* Though heavily Dutch ancestry areas of the US like western Michigan are very socially conservative and Republican, though a smaller % of the much larger evangelical population.

[King of Kensington]

Here are all the CAs where at least 20% are evangelical (riding in brackets):

Steinbach MB  63.5% (Provencher)
Leamington ON  31.7% (Chatham-Kent-Essex)
Lacombe AB  31.7% (Wetaskiwin)
Kentville NS  31.3% (Kings-Hants)
Abbotsford BC  28.3% (Abbotsford)
Chilliwack BC  28.3% (Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon)
Swift Current SK  26.3% (Cypress Hill-Grasslands)
Fredericton NB 24.4% (Fredericton)
Norfolk ON  21.6% (Haldimand-Norfolk)
High River AB  21.6% (Macleod)
Sylvan Lake AB  20.9% (Red Deer)
Brooks AB  20.8% (Medicine Hat)
Lethbridge AB  20.8% (Lethbridge)
Truro NS  20.6% (Cumberland-Colchester-Musqudoboit Valley)
Chatham-Kent ON  20.2% (Chatham-Kent-Essex)
Wetaskiwin AB  20.2% (Wetaskiwin)
Red Deer AB  20.1% (Red Deer)
Salmon Arm BC  20.0% (Okanagan-Shuswap)

[King of Kensington]

Mennonites are a significant proportion of every "Bible belt" in Canada outside the Maritimes.

[King of Kensington]

We're talking about some very rural populations here, so focusing on "census agglomerations", which require a population centre of at least 10,000, will miss out on some of the main locations.

Yes.  Unfortunately at the riding and municipality level, there is a less less specificity in terms of religion.  You can get Baptists and Pentecostals; the Other Christian is certainly majority evangelical though it also includes Mormons and Jehovah's Witnesses (as well as the generally very liberal Quakers but their numbers are tiny in Canada). 

[King of Kensington]

Maybe to some extent, but this is complicated. There was also a Liberal Party tradition among Protestants of British origin coming from the more 19th-Century, and less Loyalist, settlement of the region. I doubt these people's descendants are particularly more socially conservative than people of similar origin elsewhere in Ontario.

SW Ontario was the stronghold of support for the Clear Grits which supported more "American" type populist measures like rep by pop etc.  Proportionately less Loyalist yes and more American and also more Scottish I believe.  Not sure what difference that makes today however.

The German element was also more significant, with most 1830s-1880s German settlement going to the southwest (though there was also Loyalist settlement of Dutch and German origin in the east, but this quickly "melted" - like the Dutch and Germans of say, Hudson Valley, NY and Germans also went to Renfew County in the 19th century).   The Mennonite element also likely tips the balance toward greater social conservatism. 

The German element (not just Mennonite) was also anti-conscription; the former mayor of Kitchener was elected in Waterloo North as one of the few non-Unionist MPs elected.  Bruce South also went Liberal and I believe that was quite German as well.  Does this have any lingering impact today?

In addition, I think Norfolk County has the highest percentage of Baptists anywhere in Canada outside the Maritimes. 

[King of Kensington]

On the war in Afghanistan, Renfrew appears to be one of the three most supportive of the war in Afghanistan (not surprising given the military base) in the country.  It's also quite socially conservative on abortion and gay marriage though not quite as much as the southwestern Bible Belt.

Economic conservatism:  On the question of greater income taxes on the wealthy, it looks like Oakville is the most opposed among Ontario ridings.

[King of Kensington]

Bruce South also went Liberal and I believe that was quite German as well.  Does this have any lingering impact today?

There is a small German Catholic pocket in the interior of south Bruce that retains some very unusual voting patterns. On the map of this riding for the recent provincial election, check out the stretch of rural polls west of Hanover that voted Liberal but also have some of the highest Family Coalition votes in the province.

The coast of Bruce is less German and votes more conventionally, with the farms Conservative and the towns a bit swingy.

Fascinating.

[King of Kensington]

New Brunswick is pretty up there for social conservatism.  One of the poorest provinces in Canada, lots of Baptists, etc.  And...

http://www.capebretonpost.com/News/Local/2014-07-18/article-3804607/Morgentaler-Clinic-in-Fredericton-to-stop-performing-abortions-today/1

[King of Kensington]

Perhaps it's no coincidence that the MPP for Chatham-Kent-Essex said this.

http://www.cp24.com/news/ontario-tories-back-away-from-mpp-who-doesn-t-believe-in-evolution-1.2253116