How do you explain the betting market's high odds Trump has of winning the G.E.? (user search)
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  How do you explain the betting market's high odds Trump has of winning the G.E.? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How do you explain the betting market's high odds Trump has of winning the G.E.?  (Read 481 times)
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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Posts: 19,614
« on: March 23, 2016, 02:23:38 PM »
Quote from: dxu8888 on March 23, 2016, 12:52:36 PM
Right now predictIt has Trump at 27% chance to win the general election, with a 70% chance to clinch the GOP nomination. This implies he has a 38% chance to beat the democratic nominee in a general election.

The consensus on Atlas seem to be that Trump has less than a 50% chance to win and a 10% chance to beat Clinton.

How do you explain these high odds? Is the betting market overvalued/wrong?

There are a lot of stupid people.
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