Count me very much IN to this thread.
Thanks 
The electorate in England has jumped significantly since the last review meaning that the average electorate (n/533) would be higher today at any post-war review IIRC. My feeling is that depending on how some of the seats were drawn and given how stark the result was in som, growing parts of the countrry, the Tories could have a stronger advantage under the old system than they do under the new.
For example;
East of England, South East
Bedfordshire – If treated as a preserved county - 5.991 – 6 seats
Hertfordshire – 11.25 – 11 seats
Cambridgeshire – If treated as a preserved county – 7.799 – 8 seats (+1)
Norfolk – 9.027 – 9 seats
Suffolk – 7.521 – 8 seats (+1)
Essex – If treated as a preserved county – 17.75 - 18 seats
Berkshire – 8.439 – 8 seats
Buckinghamshire - If treated as a preserved county – 7.502 – 8 seats (+1)
East Sussex - If treated as a preserved county – 8.169 – 8 seats
Kent - If treated as a preserved county – 17.13 – 17 seats
Hampshire - If treated as a preserved county – 18.203 – 18 seats
Isle of Wight – 1.53 – 2 seats (+1) (Having two seats over one is closer to the electoral quota)
Oxfordshire – 6.591 – 7 seats (+1)
Surrey – 11.470 – 11 seats (11 seats is closer to the quota by 104 electors)
West Sussex – 8.351 – 8 seats
So we have 5 new seats created here, with one being added to the Isle of Wight. Given the patterns of support across the affected counties, particularly at the last election it is possible that all 5 created seats would be notionally Tory. The marginality of other seats would be in question, but not too much given how stark the results were here.
True for the most part. I've played with various likely boundaries before (when I expected the next review would be on this basis) and in Suffolk at least you would tend to find that the creation of an extra safe Tory seat could well result in pushing two existing seats (Ipswich and Waveney) into the Labour column on 2010 figures. Oxford W & Abingdon would probably go back to the LDs as well given the nature of the changes which would be necessitated there
