°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,273
|
 |
« on: January 01, 2016, 04:44:45 PM » |
|
I think that it is closer to 10% than 20% so I voted <= 10%.
If it is between Trump, Cruz and Rubio by California, it might happen, but there would have to be something close to a three way tie. For example, Trump could get 38% of the delegates, Rubio 38% and Cruz 19% with all others getting 5%. I don't know if such a scenario is likely. If it turns out to be a two person race, after March, I think it would be easy for one of the two to reach 50%.
This would be slightly more likely that a three person race. With so much uncertainty it's hard to predict.
|
Poll
