Vosem's Romney v. Obama Prediction Thread

[argentarius]

If the election were held a month from now:

I think Obama wins aruond 55-44 nationally or something. The favourables are just awful for Mitt. Georgia and the mountain west are fools gold for the democrats, but Missouri and Arizona are not. A lack of enthusiasm in Indiana (particularly in the NW) should give it to Romney.

EDIT: I also think SC is in play. McCain was the only reason the republicans won it by a decent margin last time.