Aberdeen Donside by-election (Holyrood)

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The by-election caused by the death of Brian Adam (SNP) has been called for the 20th of June. Donside is the successor constituency to Aberdeen North and covers the north of the city. It is a safe SNP seat (held since 2003), with a substantial Labour vote and invisible levels of support for anyone else. Labour will have led here at the last General Election and weren't far behind at the local elections last year, but the Scottish voting patterns are different for different types of election so don't read too much into that (particularly the former).

Adam's majority in 2011 was 26.9% and was notionally 13.1% in 2007.

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This was today. Counting ongoing: latest twatter rumours suggest a swing of about 9% or something to Labour.

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SNP hold

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SNP 42.0, Labour 33.3

SNP maj. 2,025 (8.7)