Some observations (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 12:53:17 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Some observations (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Some observations  (Read 1671 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,929
United Kingdom


« on: November 10, 2016, 12:31:42 PM »

1. The decision of the Obama era Democratic Party to embrace ethnic headcount politics was foolish to the point of negligence. Jaichind is not the most popular poster here and his politics are... um... bad... but he was right to highlight the possibility of what is described in Indian political jargon as 'consolidation' from the majority community in response.

2. The expected collapse of the Republican vote in affluent suburbia did not happen. At best there were some weak swings, but often not even that. It was not particularly clever to factor this into electoral strategy.

3. The collapse of the white Democratic vote (outside selected locations) was about as bad as it could have been and is just extraordinary to look at. This wasn't really a class thing - overall it skews heavily as a working class collapse because there were more working class votes to be lost this way - so much as an across-the-board meltdown. Really horrific stuff.

3b. I.e. check out the Midwestern Democratic farming vote (not working class). Oh wait you can't because it's gone as well.

4. Perhaps in retrospect running a candidate with a quarter of a century of negative publicity (built up to the level of absolute toxicity) and who was known to be under criminal investigation was not really a brilliant idea either.

4b. Which, of course, does not make the political intervention of the FBI late in the campaign anything other than deeply concerning for your democracy. Particularly as it clearly swung the election.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,929
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2016, 07:49:18 PM »

Note that Snowguy hails from rural Minnesota, one of the places that swung particularly viciously this election. Nearly cost Clinton what had been viewed as a safe state.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,929
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2016, 07:32:53 AM »

Those who remember Atlas of a decade ago will note with some amusement that, yes, here we are: jfern and WMS (hi!) singing from, if perhaps not the same hymn sheet, then at least from the same hymnbook. Thanks Obama!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 12 queries.