What's going on in Germany right now? (user search)
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  What's going on in Germany right now? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What's going on in Germany right now?  (Read 14239 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« on: May 24, 2004, 07:57:24 AM »


Ouch!
My guess is that it'll get closer... the CDU-CSU still wins easily though...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2004, 08:55:19 AM »
Actually the uniform swing map looks awfully like 1983 over here...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2004, 09:19:37 AM »
Do polls tend to overestimate the CDU-CSU's votes? I just can't believe that they will do *that* well...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,900
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2004, 11:43:46 AM »
Quote from: Lewis on May 24, 2004, 10:47:28 AM
Two things going on...
a) Polls in Germany tend to overestimate opposition support. Back in the 90's polls were usually good news to the Left, though it didn't go to the extremes we see now.
b) The Union supporters remain highly motivated. The Left is turned off by social cuts, but they'll be back, most of them, when it comes to voting the Lesser Evil in a Federal Election. Just as in 2002.

a) That happens in the U.K as well
b) That also happens in the U.K as well...
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