Bush would have the edge, but it would be a close election.
Tim Kaine's a solid running mate. He has a good resume, experience with the media and helps in a key swing state. It would be a two white guys ticket against a two white guys ticket. That might leave openings for third-party tickets to get enough of the vote to make a difference, although Jeb should appeal to his brother's socially conservative base, while Rand should get the libertarians.
Just as George W Bush was happy running against the son of a senator, Jeb would be happy running against the son of a governor/ DNC keynote speaker.
Meh. I can't understand the appeal of Tim Kaine. The guy used to be a social conservative -- became chairman of the DNC for supporting Hussein over Hillary, gave a terrible SOTU response to Bush in 05. I'll never get that.
I'd actually be OK with a Bush/Paul ticket. A good balance of Tea Party & compassionate conservatism. The base and the moderates would turn out for it
Kaine has a good resume, as a Governor turned Senator.
He is familiar to the media, and used to the national spotlight.
He has won three statewide elections in an important swing state against credible opponents.
And he was Lieutenant Governor for four years, so he's used to being a #2.
And he's a white guy with unique appeal to others. Fluent in Spanish, married to a former judge, and with a legal background specializing in representing people who had been denied housing opportunities because of their race or disability.
