Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 23015 times)
Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« on: April 19, 2016, 04:27:22 PM »
Did I just hear John King say he has seen polling from Indiana?

From what I heard, he said that after Wisconsin, polling from the senate race in Indiana showed Cruz up by double digits, but now Trump and Cruz are neck-in-neck.

If I heard right, and King actually has seen some unreleased Indiana internal polls or something, that would be interesting and the first amount of polling we've (indirectly) seen out of Indiana.
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Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 05:05:10 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on April 19, 2016, 05:00:38 PM
New York exits on electability:



compared to Wisconsin exits on electability:




So this should be fairly close to topline numbers. Trump actually might be inflated slightly - polls (including the WI exit poll) typically show more Cruz/Kasich supporters think Trump is the most electable than Trump supporters think Cruz/Kasich is the most electable.
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Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 05:35:14 PM »
Quote from: Fargobison on April 19, 2016, 05:15:53 PM
Looking like I expected Trump in the mid-50s.

I don't know why Cruz wastes his time on these states. He should just live in Indiana.

I suppose Cruz may have been hoping to:
A) Keep Trump below 50%
B) Finish ahead of Kasich
C) Avoid a truly embarrassing result, like about 15% or so

Looks like he's probably failed on all three accounts, but they may have been achievable.
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Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 05:57:12 PM »
Did I just see a Donald Trump Super PAC ad on CNN? It was really bad (I think they might have used a text-to-speech voice over) and asked people to call some number to pledge their support to Donald Trump.
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Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 06:25:12 PM »

This really shows how Trump is winning the PR war over the results of a contested convention. Regardless of the actual "rightness" of his claim, he has a much more straightforward, common-sense argument for why he should be the nominee at a contested convention - if he keeps hammering this until Cleveland, it may be tough for the delegates to make Cruz the nominee.
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Volrath50
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 814
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -5.57
« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 07:46:57 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on April 19, 2016, 07:44:07 PM
TRUMP 61% KASICH 24% CRUZ 15%

"Exits" from Drudge

Fixed that for you.

Though, if true that would be a yuge win, likely of all 95 delegates - as well as favorable media coverage.
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