MD Sen Democratic primary: Who wins?

[smoltchanov]

Hope - Trone. May be - not liberal enough for some, but - enough for me. Alsobrooks can easily lose general to Hogan, Trone - not so likely.

[smoltchanov]

Why would Trone be more inherently likely to win than Alsobrooks? I can’t really think of a compelling reason besides that she’s a black woman. Which I don’t think is the negative folks think it is in Maryland and against Larry Hogan. IIRC his black opponents managed to keep him in the 50s when he has a near 70% approval. If anything, I think a white candidate is riskier.

Trone s*** the bed on this already anyway and probably is gonna lose the primary now

In MY opinion exactly because she is a Black woman. BOTH - Black and Woman. That's the reason for few percentage difference, which could be crucial against serious candidate like Hogan (he will, probably, be "the most moderate Republican candidate" this cycle).

[smoltchanov]

Why would Trone be more inherently likely to win than Alsobrooks? I can’t really think of a compelling reason besides that she’s a black woman. Which I don’t think is the negative folks think it is in Maryland and against Larry Hogan. IIRC his black opponents managed to keep him in the 50s when he has a near 70% approval. If anything, I think a white candidate is riskier.

Trone s*** the bed on this already anyway and probably is gonna lose the primary now

In MY opinion exactly because she is a Black woman. BOTH - Black and Woman. That's the reason for few percentage difference, which could be crucial against serious candidate like Hogan (he will, probably, be "the most moderate Republican candidate" this cycle).

Yeah I disagree. And even if I didn’t I would be really uncomfortable basing my support on that

Well, such people  - exist. And that's - a factor, which must be taken into consideration. Why give them a reason to vote "the wrong way"

[smoltchanov]

Why would Trone be more inherently likely to win than Alsobrooks? I can’t really think of a compelling reason besides that she’s a black woman. Which I don’t think is the negative folks think it is in Maryland and against Larry Hogan. IIRC his black opponents managed to keep him in the 50s when he has a near 70% approval. If anything, I think a white candidate is riskier.

Trone s*** the bed on this already anyway and probably is gonna lose the primary now

In MY opinion exactly because she is a Black woman. BOTH - Black and Woman. That's the reason for few percentage difference, which could be crucial against serious candidate like Hogan (he will, probably, be "the most moderate Republican candidate" this cycle).

Yeah I disagree. And even if I didn’t I would be really uncomfortable basing my support on that

Well, such people  - exist. And that's - a factor, which must be taken into consideration. Why give them a reason to vote "the wrong way"

Because it’s morally wrong? Because it just perpetuates the problem?

Also if someone is a single issue voter on racism, I doubt they were gonna vote blue anyway. It’s not 1967 lol.

Of course - not. But they still exist. And - in both parties, though, of course, vast majority is a Republican now. But 2% may be critically important.

P.S. As i have said many times - i am NOT a social justice warrior. For me an election is simply a game, where i want to maximize my chances to win, and nothing more (yes, i am that cynical..). If some factor helps to achieve that goal - i will be for it. If the only way to win in Mississippi would be to run a James Eastland-type Democrat (of 1970th, not 1950th) - i would be for it....

[smoltchanov]

Well, there will be an interesting race in November.....

[smoltchanov]

Well, there will be an interesting race in November.....

Alsobrooks will defeat Hogan easily.

I will believe it when i will see it....