Nowcast has NV FL NC OH IA all leaning Trump. Some by the narrowest of margins of course.
Input garbage, output garbage. Only Nate could have his model claim Trump's leading NV and then release an article about how Clinton is likely to exceed her already positive NV polls.
The primary broke Nate.
The fact that he's resorting to quoting political futures markets to back his models is telling. Also the fact that he's basing his uncertainty on polling data going back to 1972 betrays that he really still wants the lesson of the primary to have been that nobody can know a thing, rather than that he just got it wrong.
He has been hedging his bets this entire cycle and it is cowardly. At least Cohn and Wang have the balls to stick to their guns.
