Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)  (Read 30240 times)
pikachu
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« on: March 08, 2016, 11:49:25 PM »

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.
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pikachu
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Posts: 2,234
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2016, 11:54:52 PM »

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

Probably, but I think she'll still get 8-10 point wins in the Northeastern states, and there's at least still one more big win for her in NC.
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pikachu
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2016, 11:58:05 PM »

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

He's staying in till California regardless. He's leading a "movement," which makes it hard to believe he'd concede before all the voting is done, unless he gets creamed by a margin that, frankly, seems unlikely given tonight.

Of course, but there's a point where she can just more or less ignore him and focus on the GOP. Obviously, she miscalculated and thought that already came, but I think that will come after the Northeastern states.
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pikachu
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Posts: 2,234
United States


« Reply #3 on: March 09, 2016, 12:11:43 AM »

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

Probably, but I think she'll still get 8-10 point wins in the Northeastern states, and there's at least still one more big win for her in NC.

North Carolina could be Bernie's best Southern state.

You have to admit, that's fairly low bar...
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pikachu
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Posts: 2,234
United States


« Reply #4 on: March 09, 2016, 12:47:34 AM »

Who knows if he'll get the nomination? Who knows how many states next week?

What I do know, and so should the rest of you, is that this isn't an Anti-Hillary movement. Bernie is for real and at this moment he has to be taken seriously. No state is safe for Clinton next week because the polls are not everything.

Don't get carried away now. If Mississippi was voting on the 15th rather than tonight, would the outcome there suddenly be in question?

Not necessarily, but I think we're seeing a trend in which Bernie can carry states other than the Deep South. Don't forget the states next week have a much better chance of going blue in November.

Literally the only guaranteed blue state next week is Illinois. Ohio and Florida very slightly lean R, North Carolina definitely leans R, and I'll be shocked if we win Missouri.
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