Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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  Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 91327 times)
Vroke
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« on: February 22, 2012, 03:52:35 PM »

Tonight is do or die for Santorum. If he can really stick it to Romney, then he'll take Michigan and Arizona next week, giving him huge momentum into Super Tuesday. If Romney can stand up and offer better answers than Santorum, then Romney will climb his way back to the top.

Unless Gingrich blows everyone out of the water tonight, I believe he's done for. He hasn't had any significant finish since South Carolina and Florida.
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Vroke
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2012, 07:38:08 PM »

A Newt surge in the next few days helps Romney more than anyone else. Splitting the social conservative vote between Gingrich and Santorum helps Romney get back in the race for Arizona and Michigan. With those under his belt, he's going into Super Tuesday in a much better position.
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Vroke
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2012, 08:19:23 PM »

A Newt surge in the next few days helps Romney more than anyone else. Splitting the social conservative vote between Gingrich and Santorum helps Romney get back in the race for Arizona and Michigan. With those under his belt, he's going into Super Tuesday in a much better position.

These surges have been happening in the space of 2 days, 6 is plenty of time.

Exactly. If Newt has a really good night tonight and really gains momentum again, then he could very well get back into the thick of it. Although, based on the debate so far, I think Newt might have a sore throat - it sounds like it's really scratchy.
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