Poll - New Hampshire - Bush vs. Dean

[jravnsbo]

9 dwarfs is a common name for the dem candidates, some have said the 9 liberals, 9 mondales as they all want to raise taxes--take your pick.

Well at least with the poll it is nice to see that a year of Dems running around NH still has not had much effect.  I still think in the end that NH will vote for Bush, even if the Dems make a push there.  

NH is the most anti tax state int eh country and all the Dems want tax increases by rolling back the President's tax cuts.  Plus the Dems thought they had a winner iin Gov Shaheen in the 2002 senate race and she ended up losing also.  Plus GOP will have an easy senate win with Sen Gregg and most likely the new GOP Gov will be reelected, Benson I believe is his name.

[jravnsbo]

Can't wait for the Sunday political shows and what the Dems will say to try and spin how Bush negotiated to have Libya turn in their WMDs.

[jravnsbo]

NH is off the table if the dems nominate a candidate with middle class TAX INCREASES such as Dean or Gephardt.

[jravnsbo]

New Hampshire has more registered Republicans — 254,000 in the November 2002 election — than Democrats, with 177,000. The state's 260,000 undeclared voters outnumber both parties.


just an interesting stat I found for the general election.

[jravnsbo]

I did see though that thouasnads of libertarians are moving to NH to help build their party but said int he short term they may support Bush if it appears close, which could help too.

NH could be in play for a moderate Democrat, if not Dean.

As Dazzleman pointed out in another thread, the growth of the "exurbs" (suburbs that don't surround urban areas) is a key national demographic trend that  favors Democrats for years to come. Fast growing "exurban" areas in southern NH like Nashua and Manchester are attracting young families from cities like New York and Boston. The "downtown" of these areas are their shopping malls, which don't promote traditionally conservative cultural values like the small towns or rural areas that the exurbs are replacing. The traditional independent libertarian NH voter will eventually no longer dominate NH politics.

This phenomenon is true in other northeastern states like NJ and PA as well.