Which Gore States Would Kerry Lose?

[jravnsbo]

I would say MN is first ont he hit list.  Followd in descending order by NM, OR, IA, WI

and PA is a tossup and MI could be.

[jravnsbo]

NH does not like tax increases so it is in GOP column.  Then FL is more and moe GOP since 2000 and Panhandle will vote in droves this time.  

OH is my only worry.

Wow, if he lost those 5 states, that would put him at 221 electoral votes.  Needing at least 49 for victory, that would mean Kerry would have to win Ohio (20), Florida (27) and New Hampshire (4).  Almost impossible.   A very tough road indeed.  

[jravnsbo]

I didn't that is what MN stands for.

I would say MN is first ont he hit list.  Followd in descending order by NM, OR, IA, WI

and PA is a tossup and MI could be.

Don't forget Minnisota.

[jravnsbo]

gustaf-it was on letterman last night and good show.  Dean did alright and a little lightheartedness is good for him now.

Lets see:

Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, washington, New MExico, Oregon.

Washington? Nader ran strongly in Washington, Bush only got 44% there in 2000, worse than in Michigan. If it's a competitive election, Washington should go Dem.

I disagree.  Kery would win Seattle but that's it.

I don't really know where to post this, it's mostly for MiamiU's benefit...apparently Dean will  be giving a top 10 list on David Letterman, and one of the items is this:

"Marry Rachel on the final episode of Friends."

Would that give him your vote, MiamiU?

[jravnsbo]

I know it was confusing for me too when I was deployed to germany last year, everything seemed to be a day behind.

Ah, well, I am kind of cut off from the world of entertainment in America...

gustaf-it was on letterman last night and good show.  Dean did alright and a little lightheartedness is good for him now.

Lets see:

Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, washington, New MExico, Oregon.

Washington? Nader ran strongly in Washington, Bush only got 44% there in 2000, worse than in Michigan. If it's a competitive election, Washington should go Dem.

I disagree.  Kery would win Seattle but that's it.

I don't really know where to post this, it's mostly for MiamiU's benefit...apparently Dean will  be giving a top 10 list on David Letterman, and one of the items is this:

"Marry Rachel on the final episode of Friends."

Would that give him your vote, MiamiU?

[jravnsbo]

Yes I feel your pain   ( sorry couldn't resist)

Then you know how I feel...

[quote author=jravnsbo

[jravnsbo]

welcoem to the forum!  Gov Ehrlich must be doing a good job, new Republicans in a liberal land.

Poker, funny!

I can imagine how Edwards stands on guns went over there last night and many places.  Hurt gore and will hurt dems again.

I don't see Kerry winning West Virginia.... in my mind, WV is undergoing the same shift as the rest of rural America in joinging the side of the Republicans in the culture war.    WV should be part of the new "Solid South" for the Republicans for a while.

Most Gore states are solidly Democratic, with the exception of the four out of the five "recount States" won by Gore - OR, NM, IA, and WI, along with MN (which seems to be trending Republican) and PA (which seems to be trending Democratic.)  

I predict that the Democratic nominee hangs onto OR, but loses IA, WI, and MN.  I'm still torn about NM depending on the day of the week... it would be great if it ended in a tie and the Presidency was then decided by a hand of poker.  

TheOldLine

[jravnsbo]

Senators our icons, Rockefeller nd Byrd bring home the PORK in big quantities and will be there till they die.

WV Gov election is in 2004 isn't it? , not 2002 and outgoing governor was involved ina sex scandal.

I don't see Kerry winning West Virginia.... in my mind, WV is undergoing the same shift as the rest of rural America in joinging the side of the Republicans in the culture war.    WV should be part of the new "Solid South" for the Republicans for a while.

Most Gore states are solidly Democratic, with the exception of the four out of the five "recount States" won by Gore - OR, NM, IA, and WI, along with MN (which seems to be trending Republican) and PA (which seems to be trending Democratic.)  

I predict that the Democratic nominee hangs onto OR, but loses IA, WI, and MN.  I'm still torn about NM depending on the day of the week... it would be great if it ended in a tie and the Presidency was then decided by a hand of poker.  

TheOldLine

How do you explain, then, West Virginians electing a Democrat for Governor in 2002, and re-electing both of their Democratic U.S. senators, one in 2002 and the other in 2000?

Also, Bill Clinton won WV and Louisiana with more than 50% of the popular vote in 1996.  Ross Perot did nothing to give Clinton victories in those 2 states - Dole would have lost both of those states even if Perot had not run.

I think Kerry can win WV and NH - 2 states that Gore lost in 2000.