2012 Intrade rankings

[HagridOfTheDeep]

It probably was a 70% chance.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Martinez is no Sarah Palin. This woman isn't a phony. She'd connect with voters without having to get gimmicky.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Palin did it to herself when she showed up to those Katie Couric interviews unprepared. The mainstream media goes for what's most popular. Hating on Palin was most popular because she made herself look stupid.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I agree with most of what you say, but you are dead wrong on this one.

Aren't you the guy who often accuses people of "admitting you were right" when they divert from your points? This little game is a pretty solid example of a diversion. I will not participate. Obama has said many stupid things before, but they were small and mundane enough not to catch fire. He is able to make himself look smart in the way that he talks. It's unfortunate, but Palin and Perry and Bush (all of whom made themselves look stupid) use a folksy accent that doesn't always work.

So when someone who talks funny gets up there in front of a national audience and answers a question with a dumb run-on sentence, it looks stupid. Hell, it is stupid. I know Palin never said "I can see Russia from my house." That doesn't mean her answer to Couric's question was articulate or made sense. Palin, who should have known the MSM was ready to jump onthe tiniest of missteps, showed up unprepared for an interview. Those tapings are what ruined her.

I don't believe it is in Martinez's character to show up unprepared. I don't believe she would bait the MSM like Palin did.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I have not been fooled--I like Palin. She still made herself look stupid by giving the MSM a big blunder to chew on. Obama does not give run-on, unintelligible responses to new reporters. Sure, he rarely gives anything of substance and sometimes says the odd dumb thing, but even you should be able to see that Palin's Couric interviews were huge bombs (and they were fair interviews, too).

Big mess-ups and small mess-ups are not on par. Big blunders can sink a candidate. Many, many, many small ones cannot.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

No one will be buying Obama after next Tuesday.

And I mean that in almost every sense, except for the one opebo is thinking.