The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 147750 times)
Donerail
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« on: May 13, 2014, 09:34:55 PM »

Logan County is probably the most yellow-dog dem/coal country county you can get.

I'd assume the reason for how Logan voted has more to do with the fact that it's an absolutely tiny place and is Ojeda's hometown (as well as his wife's, and I'm pretty sure it's where he lives and raises his children now). I wouldn't doubt that you'd see Lincoln County as the sole outlier if he'd grown up one county over.
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2014, 08:30:55 PM »

Recent big dump in Jasper seems to be what just propelled McDaniel (and Palazzo) up.
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2014, 09:01:16 PM »

25% in for DeSoto county (neutral area) and McDaniel up 62-36.

Yes, the next five precincts came in, and they went 2-1 for McDaniel, rather than a tad below  3-2 for the first five, with 29 left to go in DeSoto. It's ugly up there. Cochran needs to carry Rankin to win this tonight probably.

Stop being a drama-llama.  Hinds County alone appears to be more than cancelling-out DeSoto.

Hinds is over 3/4 in already, though - DeSoto has less than half.
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2014, 09:07:56 PM »

90% in for Jackson County - McDaniel up by 1% there. Probably a bad sign for Taylor if so many are abandoning Cochran on the Gulf.
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2014, 09:11:40 PM »

Palazzo has closed to .3% of Taylor.
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2014, 09:37:08 PM »

Yep, its up to Rankin county at this point...

There's pretty significant chunks of Jones and Lamar still out, as well as Rankin. Probably not enough to counterbalance Rankin though.
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2014, 09:42:04 PM »

what the hell is happening in Jones County?

McDaniel's hometown.
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2014, 09:45:03 PM »

What happened in Wilkinson County on the Dem side? Childers got 4th there while winning every other county.
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2014, 09:55:20 PM »

For the recent other updates, Walsh is still crushing the anti-gay Bohlinger while Lewis is still winning handily in the Dem House primary and Stapleton is leading Zinke 36-33 with 2% in.

"Gay, lesbian and bisexual Americans lived in the shadows. An outed gay man was regarded as a security risk, a potential traitor and not entitled to any position of trust." - John Bohlinger, listing reasons why the 1950s were bad.

"America has changed, and some of have learned and permitted our thoughts and beliefs to change and grow as well. The average American is not a financially successful middle-aged heterosexual Christian white guy. We are gay and straight, male, female and transgendered, we have pale skins or dark skins, we are young and old." - John Bohlinger on Americans.

If you're going to attack the guy, at least do so accurately.
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2014, 10:18:29 PM »

How has Taylor done in Lamar so far tonight? It's the only county with outstanding precincts in his district and his only shot at making a runoff.
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2014, 10:28:57 PM »

For the recent other updates, Walsh is still crushing the anti-gay Bohlinger while Lewis is still winning handily in the Dem House primary and Stapleton is leading Zinke 36-33 with 2% in.

"Gay, lesbian and bisexual Americans lived in the shadows. An outed gay man was regarded as a security risk, a potential traitor and not entitled to any position of trust." - John Bohlinger, listing reasons why the 1950s were bad.

"America has changed, and some of have learned and permitted our thoughts and beliefs to change and grow as well. The average American is not a financially successful middle-aged heterosexual Christian white guy. We are gay and straight, male, female and transgendered, we have pale skins or dark skins, we are young and old." - John Bohlinger on Americans.

If you're going to attack the guy, at least do so accurately.
Bohlinger's own campaign website isn't exactly going to tell the whole truth considering his record shows Bohlinger's history has him supporting hate crime laws, but not same-sex marriage. Walsh himself recently endorsed SSM. And while we're talking about this, AP calls the race for Walsh! Woooo Cheesy

Yes, I would believe that Bohlinger's 2014 campaign website is more reflective of his current positions than whatever he said in 1998.
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2014, 10:52:39 PM »
« Edited: June 03, 2014, 11:22:56 PM by SJoyce »

Probably outdated by the time I finished typing, but whatever. Uses AP data from the Clarion-Ledger's site.

Votes out:
15% of Choctaw
100% of Holmes
32% of Rankin
3% of Hinds
36% of Warren
100% of Covington
12% of Jefferson
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« Reply #12 on: June 03, 2014, 11:45:29 PM »


Carey voters aren't really any kind of cohesive group. It won't come down to who wins the Carey voters. It'll come down to whether olds or Tea Partiers are more motivated to vote in a low-turnout election. I'd give the edge to McDaniel, especially with no MS-04 runoff.
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« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2014, 03:09:04 PM »

Any chance that McDaniel's success inspires something similar in South Carolina? Does the South Carolina Democratic Party have a candidate who can give them a shot against a crazy Tea Partier?

There's a State Senator in the race who shouldn't be an awful candidate.
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« Reply #14 on: June 24, 2014, 06:21:00 PM »

In a result that surprises absolutely nobody, AP calls it for Clawson.
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« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2014, 08:17:58 PM »

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Any reason why you think that?

Jones county could be one.

No votes in yet from Jones - worth noting that, at this point, Cochran's lead is less than McDaniel's margin of victory in Jones alone last time.
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« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2014, 08:31:32 PM »

McDaniel is currently running around 5 points ahead of his past performance in DeSoto.

WTF, Hancock County? Seriously???

What's the significance here, Harry? For us non-MS types.

Hancock went for Cochran by 6 points last time and now it's going for McDaniel by 8. It's one of the coast counties that Cochran was relying on - people here were supposed to be up in arms over McDaniel's Katrina comments.
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« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2014, 08:40:03 PM »

McDaniel is currently running around 5 points ahead of his past performance in DeSoto.

Any assessment of turnout there?

A report from Memphis' New Channel 3 (CBS affiliate) says poll workers have been reporting a bigger turnout than last round.
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« Reply #18 on: June 24, 2014, 08:53:24 PM »

Jones doesn't look like it'll be enough for McDaniel this time. With a third left to count, Cochran's 200 under his previous total and McDaniel is over 4000 under.
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« Reply #19 on: June 24, 2014, 08:59:17 PM »

Jones is starting to come in (about 30% more vote to be counted from there) and Cochran is back to a narrow 7,000 vote lead (51.5-48.5) over McDaniel! And there's still more vote to come from a few other McDaniel counties including Lamar and Perry. Come on McDaniel!!!! Cheesy

Why the hell are you cheering for McDaniel??

Adam is a rather tedious partisan who thinks it could lead to a D+1 or at least make the Rs look stupid.
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« Reply #20 on: June 24, 2014, 09:05:42 PM »

Wasserman's called it for Cochran.
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« Reply #21 on: June 24, 2014, 09:14:39 PM »

Jones is starting to come in (about 30% more vote to be counted from there) and Cochran is back to a narrow 7,000 vote lead (51.5-48.5) over McDaniel! And there's still more vote to come from a few other McDaniel counties including Lamar and Perry. Come on McDaniel!!!! Cheesy

Why the hell are you cheering for McDaniel??

Adam is a rather tedious partisan who thinks it could lead to a D+1 or at least make the Rs look stupid.
Every Democrat in this board not from MS would prefer to have McDaniel nominated than Cochran. To be honest, we don't care what happens to the state as long as it becomes easier for the Democrats to hold the Senate.

I'd prefer that this country have a functional opposition party.
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« Reply #22 on: June 24, 2014, 09:52:58 PM »

Holmes is finally in.
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« Reply #23 on: June 24, 2014, 09:56:55 PM »

McDaniel's still missing 6 precincts in Panola, 12 in Clarke, 2 in Forrest, 1 in Jones, and 3 in Jeff Davis. For Cochran counties: 1 in Warren, 1 in Harrison, 4 in Lauderdale, 6 in Scott, 4 in Hinds, 9 in Rankin, 9 in Simpson, and 1 in Winston.
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« Reply #24 on: June 24, 2014, 10:01:46 PM »

McDaniel's still missing 6 precincts in Panola, 12 in Clarke, 2 in Forrest, 1 in Jones, and 3 in Jeff Davis. For Cochran counties: 1 in Warren, 1 in Harrison, 4 in Lauderdale, 6 in Scott, 4 in Hinds, 9 in Rankin, 9 in Simpson, and 1 in Winston.

This still won't save McDaniel.

Yeah, back-of-the-envelope math says he'd have to win 62% of votes outstanding.
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