Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results (user search)
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  Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results  (Read 7295 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: April 20, 2015, 06:58:22 PM »

I don't know how anyone could put Massachusetts at solid R. Obviously Baker could do very well and be re-elected, but here more than 3 years out from the election and a state as liberal as Massachusetts, there is a certainty of uncertainty about how it will go in 2018.

He also might not run - as Republican governors there tend not to.

Yeah, that was just Romney.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2015, 07:34:04 PM »

This is definitely far away - I could see some oddball places with Democrat Governors. I will say some places that I think are more definitive to lose Governorships -

Democrats Pick-Up: Maine (Maybe Poliquin will run after a shock win in 2016, otherwise I don't see it after two terms of LePage), Maryland (Hogan's strong, but so is Maryland Democratic Party), Michigan (very hormonal, switches easily), New Mexico (Another switchy state), Wisconsin (We'll see, but Walker's approvals seem to suggest a change), Illinois (Love Rauner, probably not winning again)
Republicans Pick-Up: Nothing

It's way too early, obviously (since in Governorships partisanship seems less emphasized), and I think most of these states could go either way since there will be a lot of open seats. No doubt, 2018 will be fun.
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